CCatalyst
No edge yet
Public ledger

Ledger

Receipts, forward grading, and method live together so the proof path is readable without a wallet.

Updated Jul 24, 17:56
Latest checksum245c086b...e62310browser-verifiable
Receipt rows50committed cycles
Forward rows668graded decisions
Verifierrun nowOpen proof
Receipts

Chained decision receipts

Open JSON ->
TimePairDecisionActionSignalsChecksumProof
Jul 24, 17:56ETHUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/327925e30...eaa588View ->
Jul 24, 17:56BTCUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3fa406ecb...623311View ->
Jul 24, 17:55SOLUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3245c086b...e62310View ->
Jul 24, 14:18ETHUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3f73275e9...18f4d9View ->
Jul 24, 14:17BTCUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3b47c7968...50203aView ->
Jul 24, 14:16SOLUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3dcf78add...4d7cb5View ->
Jul 24, 10:31SOLUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3c06e8239...6fd3efView ->
Jul 24, 10:30ETHUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3c33bb926...252b41View ->
Jul 24, 10:30BTCUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3a4b4dfad...776f3eView ->
Jul 24, 06:43SOLUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3e7f39c2c...66965bView ->
Jul 24, 06:43ETHUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/31181f1f3...977a31View ->
Jul 24, 06:42BTCUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3425112f0...645c34View ->
Jul 24, 03:49SOLUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3390b2cc1...9a1679View ->
Jul 24, 03:48ETHUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/34e803c30...779b60View ->
Jul 24, 03:48BTCUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/39d3646c0...968c9eView ->
Jul 23, 21:32SOLUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3a77b4bd6...96b5ebView ->
Jul 23, 21:31ETHUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3d8e222d5...e1cde3View ->
Jul 23, 21:31BTCUSDTNo edge yetNo Trade4/3672374d5...0c27ceView ->
Forward Ledger

70 approved trades resolved at 62.8571% win; discipline added +26.5239% over 406 refused setups across 668 cycles. Simulation shadow, every decision reconcilable.

Per-decision CSV ->Open JSON ->
TimeThesisConvictionOutcomeGradeChecksum
Jul 24, 17:56ETHUSDT Flat0%ResolvedNo edge yet27925e30...eaa588
Jul 24, 17:56BTCUSDT Flat0%ResolvedNo edge yetfa406ecb...623311
Jul 24, 17:55SOLUSDT Short0%+0.20%Window Close245c086b...e62310
Jul 24, 14:18ETHUSDT Long0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossedf73275e9...18f4d9
Jul 24, 14:17BTCUSDT Long0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossedb47c7968...50203a
Jul 24, 14:16SOLUSDT Short0%+0.22%Window Closedcf78add...4d7cb5
Jul 24, 10:31SOLUSDT Short0%+0.15%Window Closec06e8239...6fd3ef
Jul 24, 10:30ETHUSDT Short0%+0.12%Window Closec33bb926...252b41
Jul 24, 10:30BTCUSDT Short0%+0.09%Window Closea4b4dfad...776f3e
Jul 24, 06:43SOLUSDT Short0%+0.13%Window Closee7f39c2c...66965b
Jul 24, 06:43ETHUSDT Short0%+0.11%Window Close1181f1f3...977a31
Jul 24, 06:42BTCUSDT Long0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossed425112f0...645c34
Jul 24, 03:49SOLUSDT Short0%+0.13%Window Close390b2cc1...9a1679
Jul 24, 03:48ETHUSDT Short0%+0.11%Window Close4e803c30...779b60
Jul 24, 03:48BTCUSDT Long0%-0.02%Window Close9d3646c0...968c9e
Jul 23, 21:32SOLUSDT Short0%+0.09%Window Closea77b4bd6...96b5eb
Jul 23, 21:31ETHUSDT Short0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossedd8e222d5...e1cde3
Jul 23, 21:31BTCUSDT Short0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossed672374d5...0c27ce
Jul 23, 17:51SOLUSDT Short0%+0.09%Window Close7aafd1c1...d4f3c0
Jul 23, 17:50ETHUSDT Short0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossedbca05c7d...908deb
Jul 23, 17:49BTCUSDT Short0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossedef225054...80c388
Jul 23, 14:37SOLUSDT Short0%+0.05%Window Close29cf4924...48a21c
Jul 23, 14:36ETHUSDT Short0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossed92afd50a...6aab8a
Jul 23, 14:36BTCUSDT Short0%-0.08%Stop Band Crossed9243a7f6...faf4fc
Jul 23, 10:37SOLUSDT Flat0%ResolvedNo edge yet0a0204d2...28525a
Jul 23, 10:37ETHUSDT Flat0%ResolvedNo edge yet17207795...13ba58
Jul 23, 10:36BTCUSDT Long0%+0.07%Window Close5c949a8d...f4dc32
Jul 23, 06:43SOLUSDT Long10%+0.07%Window Close26d2c7fb...e93f8a
Calibration

Does the agent know how right it is?

recomputed from receipts; verify:calibration guards drift

Stated conviction against the outcome that actually happened, two ways: on the trades the governor approved, and across all theses including the ones it refused. Lower Brier is better; 0.25 is a coin flip. Comparing the two shows whether the governor is selecting the decisions where the agent's confidence can be trusted, rather than trusting raw conviction. Small sample, growing each cycle.

Approved trades (what the governor allowed)

Brier 0.2463 · n=70. Conviction vs realized win on the trades that cleared the gate.

Stated convictionObserved win rateDecisions
65%66.6667%21
68%40%5
70%66.6667%6
72%86.6667%15
75%47.0588%17
76%0%1
78%50%2
80%100%1
85%50%2

All theses (raw, including refused)

Brier 0.3958 · n=476. Conviction vs outcome across taken trades and refused counterfactuals.

Stated convictionObserved win rateDecisions
0%43.4316%373
10%50%2
15%33.3333%3
25%0%1
30%100%1
40%0%2
45%50%2
52%100%1
55%0%4
60%38.4615%13
62%66.6667%3
65%63.6364%22
68%40%5
70%66.6667%6
72%86.6667%15
75%47.0588%17
76%0%1
78%50%2
80%100%1
85%50%2

Method

Catalyst runs a complete Playbook loop: scan Bitget markets, ask Qwen for a thesis, pass the thesis through deterministic trigger, risk, and stop checks, simulate execution when approved, and write a checksum-backed receipt either way.

The browser verifier recomputes the latest receipt checksum. If receipt content changes, the hash fails.

Verification

StatePASS
Browser hash245c086b...e62310
Receipt checksum245c086b...e62310
DecisionNo edge yet

Receipt untouched. Browser hash matches the public checksum.

GetAgent run proof

Runpbrun-b8eb40e05307
StatusCompleted
Return+0.03%
PublishNot Claimed

No public Studio rank is claimed unless a reproducible public GetAgent URL is supplied.